Some meditations On social and
technological aspects of Russian Cosmonautics, part I G.M.Chernyavsky "Cosmonit" Science and The study is connected with important problems of Cosmonautics
development in whole, with discussion of historical aspects and scientific perspectives
[1-32]. In article it is presented 10 sections. Introduction. World-outlook
views of cosmism. Cosmonautics'
Here
it is published first (I) part of article; second (II) part is prepared for
next issue.
The subject of the review was evoked by the discussion [29] of Jesco
von Puttkamer's (NASA) question: "I'm
trying to understand, how
could it happen that the appeared to be First in Space". 1. Introduction The semicentenary
Anniversary of the flight of the first astronaut - the citizen of our country -
seems to be a good occasion not only for panegyrics to our participation in the
historical past, but also for reflection about how carefully we - his compatriots
- save and use the heritage left by space exploration pioneers. The grandeur of events
that entailed the social sphere extension up to space scale is obvious. Discussion on the
expediency and urgency of "cosmization" of life on
the Earth was relatively short. Space is gradually transforming into a habitat,
and the mankind realizes that beyond the space environment the Civilization is
doomed. Today, more than 130 of 247 countries on the
Earth use the space activity results. As to their contribution, it is
determined by the resources and mentality of a state. Space activity stimulates progress and
represents an indicator of material, intellectual and spiritual level of
society. At the present stage, space activity develops
harmoniously and at prompt paces, though its productivity is less impressive,
than in the 20th century. The forward motion is characteristic for an
overwhelming majority of national space exploration programs. Our country, which has earlier paved the way
into space for mankind, is an exception. In the nineties of the past century,
owing to social upheaval, space activity in This analytical review gives the author's
opinion on the sources and possible consequences of space activity stagnation
in Cosmonautics is known to represent a synthesis
of knowledge in the field of natural, engineering and social sciences which
provide extension of the social sphere, which possesses multiple-aspect
environment, allowing for the matter and physical fields of space. The author considers it possible to confine
himself to discussion of social and technological aspects as more dynamical
ones than the natural environment, and tries to elucidate their direct
relationship. Elucidation of engineering aspects was promoted
by the author's professional skills and availability of extensive literature. As to social aspects, their consideration is
based on the author's life experience and civic positions and does not claim to
be a summary review. For more complete presentation of the range of
problems, the author took the advantage of his knowledge on cosmonautics' nature
and methodological bases. The paper also covers cosmonautics' aims and
technological means, and tries to analyze space activity in the world at the
beginning of the 21st century. Some materials on the history of
Russian cosmonautics occurred to be useful as well. 2.
World-outlook views of cosmism Human-Space
relationship represents one of the major world-outlook problems. Space
mysteries have attracted the earthmen since the ancient times. Such immanent
inner mechanisms as striving for knowledge, inclination to relocation and the
habitat extension, creativity, ambitions, reverie that have been worked out
during the struggle for existence have attracted people to navigation,
aerostation, and flights into outer space. Interest
in space flights was reflected in science-fiction novels, the first of which
was the story by the ancient Greek satirist Lucian of Samosata.
This story was published in The great
Kant wrote in the 19th century: "Two things fill the soul with new and ever
stronger astonishment and veneration, the more often we reflect on them, - this
is a stellar sky above me and a moral law inside me". An early
man perceived the world as a system of homogenous relations, where a man had no
special place. Society progress and accumulation of knowledge led to cosmogonic myths with their gods and heroes. Simultaneously,
the rational views were outlined. The philosophical idea about space as an
ontology of world's harmony and regularity was formed in the ancient During
the Renaissance, anthropocentrism reinforced by Ptolemy's geocentricism appeared
as a stage of the world comprehension. Finally, in the 18-19th
centuries, N.Copernicus' heliocentricism
allowed to pass from natural philosophical views of the Universe to the
natural-scientific theory. In the 20th
century a new science - cosmology - arose as an astrophysical theory of the
Universe as a whole. It was based on learning the most general properties of
the available part of the universe. Cosmology rests upon the basic fundamental
physical theories (general relativity theory, field theory, etc.). Modern cosmology
achievements are associated with A.Einstein, Russian
scientist A.Friedman, who updated the principles of
relativity theory, American astronomer E.Hubble, who
submitted the idea of receding galaxies, and others. The
empirical basis of cosmology is an extragalactic astronomy. Its evolution is
also promoted by the optical and radio astronomy. In In the
18-19th centuries, scientific elite was attracted from the West, and
Russian scientists were consolidated. New
trends emerged in science and the first scientific schools were established. The works
by Russian scientists acquired worldwide recognition. Among them there were: A.M.Butlerov, V.I.Vernadsky, S.P.Krasheninnikov, P.I.Lebedev, N.I.Lobachevsky, M.V.Lomonosov, D.I.Mendeleyev, I.I.Mechnikov, M.V.Ostrogradsky, A.S.Popov, N.M.Przhevalsky, I.M.Sechenov, B.S.Jacobi and others. At the beginning of the 20th
century, a unique field of world-outlook knowledge appeared in Russian
cosmists, many centuries after Greek cosmocentrism, announced the problem of man-space
interrelation in a new way. It was a weighty contribution of the Russian school
of philosophers to the science. Emergence
of cosmism was boosted by successes in studying the biosphere, as well as by
attempts to associate its evolution with the origination of a man and his role
in space. Cosmism,
stated in works by V.I.Vernadsky, N.F.Fedorov,
K.E.Tsiolkovsky, A.LChizhevsky,
represents an inhomogeneous, in its content, flow of thoughts; it includes both
philosophical and natural-scientific aspects. A.M.Chizhevsky wrote about the space influence on life processes: "A living cell represents a result of cosmic,
solar and telluric effect; it is an object that was generated by the strain of
creative capabilities of the whole Universe". In this connection,
astronomer J.Jeans' thought is of interest: "Our bodies consist of the ash of planets
that declined long ago". N.F.Fedorov
developed an idea of space settlement of mankind, idea of people obtaining
immortality through scientific achievements. K.E.Tsiolkovsky wrote about space exploration by means of special space vehicles: "The infinity of the Universe implies that
life and intelligence are not unique. The Universe is "a sensible world".
Therefore the Man should lean on moral standards. Humanism, which is the
assistance of planets that had attained a higher stage of evolution to the
retarded ones, should become the basis of morals". V.I. Vernadsky considered the transition from biosphere to noosphere - the "sphere of mind" - as a natural phenomenon.
It is the sphere that will determine further evolution on the Earth. Russian
cosmists demonstrated in their works that the equivalence of two principles -
material and ideal ones - reflects the clear and complete idea Ïf all the living objects. Cosmists'
humanism leaned against the world outlook of Voltaire, Diderot,
Kant, d'Holbach, Helvétius,
Saint-Simon. S.P.Korolev, who probably shared the philosophical views of
cosmists, answering journalists' question about whether the astronauts had seen
the God, responded as follows: "No, they
have not :. They are gods themselves". Cosmists
stated that the world evolution suggested a permanent development of a human up
to the moment, when intelligence would become a leading force of this
evolution. Human interrelation with space will lead the civilization to a
higher stage of development, and the earth ethics will transform into cosmic
one. The standards and principles of cosmic ethics will determine the living
activity of a man. Faith in
the progress and optimism suggests confidence that for 4 billions years left
till the Solar system catastrophe, the man-space assimilation will occur. Here,
one should not forget that, according to current notions, only 4% of the
Universe can be cognized, and remaining 96% are attributed to the so-called
"dark matter" and "dark energy". In the
present paper context, it seems reasonable to emphasize that cosmonautics is founded on cosmism's
world-outlook views and is soaked with faith in intelligence, optimism, and
humane morals. 3. Cosmonautics' Three
epoch-making events reflect the Civilization progress in the 20th
century: the appearance of nuclear synthesis, cybernetics and cosmonautics. The idea
of "cosmonautics" has its roots in ancient Cosmonautics (cosmonautics),
as a new field of scientific knowledge, emerged at the beginning of the 20th
century on the basis of world-outlook views of cosmism and began to be formed
in Formation of cosmonautics in When
in the 15-17th centuries the cultural centers moved from the East to
the West, Peter
the Great pushed The
abolition of serfdom is considered to be one of the milestones of the Russian
history. The reform implemented by Alexander II formally translated the country
to the capitalist economic management, but, in its essence, changed neither
material, nor spiritual status of people. Remaining limited to primary
education available independent of the estate, Russian elite was still was
convinced of being useless to enlighten and educate the people. At
present the President of Russia has declared himself a successor of Alexander
II in modernization of Low standards of living, social
contradictions and, simultaneously, the influence of European culture at the
beginning of the 20th century led Just
before and during these events, the pleiad of Russian
advocates of jet propulsion and enthusiasts of space exploration, led by the teacher
of At the maiden
stage, cosmonautics was restricted to technological aspects of space flights,
and the wide range of transportation tasks was solved. K.E. Tsiolkovsky in a series of more than 700 works demonstrated
for the first time that "Only a rocket
built in a special manner would help mankind to break through the chains of
Earth gravity and enter the interplanetary space". Priority
in the idea of jet propulsion application to aerostatics dates back to the end
of the 19th century and belongs to the Russian member of "Narodnaya Volya" ("The People's
Freedom") organization N.I.Kibalchich. At the
same time Prof. I.V.Meshchersky published his works,
in which the basic equations of rocket dynamics were stated. Without
reading works by Tsiolkovsky, scientist and inventor Yu.V.Kondratyuk from One of
the lunar program managers, American John Houbolt
recalls: "When in the early morning of
March 1968 :. I watched the launch of Apollo-9 from the In the late twenties - early thirties of the
last century the engineers of many countries turned to jet propulsion problems.
R.Goddard ( F.A.Zander, who combined the qualities of
theorist, practitioner and organizer of work in cosmonautics, devoted his life
to the space flights theory and rocket engineering. He was the first head of
the well-known GIRD group (Group for the Study of Reactive Motion) and created
the first Soviet laboratory engine OR-1 powered by benzene and compressed air in
1930. In
the thirties, at the Gas-dynamic Laboratory of Moscow GIRD, the Jet Institute
(RNII), in the In
1933 one of GIRD missiles designed by M.K.Tikhonravov
(some time later, together with S.P.Korolev he created the first artificial
Earth satellite) reached the altitude of From the
historical point of view it is remarkable that it was not cosmonautics that
stimulated the development of rocket engineering, but vice versa. Missiles
produced to improve the armament ensured the development of cosmonautics. In their
evolution through centuries, the missiles passed the way from the elementary
powder missiles up to the most complicated flying vehicles without significant
variations. šRocket engineering began its development in In 1912, N.I.Tikhomirov, who became later one of the pioneers of
liquid-propellant rocket engines development, presented the design of "self-powered
jet mines". The
works in the field of jet propulsion were supported by the Soviet
administration in terms of solving military tasks. Powder
missiles were used in military operations in the region of the Unfortunately,
the results obtained in the field of solid propellants, were forgotten in the
post-war period, and the leadership in solid-propellant intercontinental
missiles was captured by the Repressions
of the thirties caused great moral and material damage to the At
the same time, Wernher von Braun, a talented German
designer, developed a liquid-propellant ballistic missile V-2 capable of
delivering a warhead of 1 ton to the distance of about Ballistic
missiles were transferred from the experimental field into the practical
application, which was of major historic importance. Not only the development
of rocket industry began, but also the industrial foundation was laid for the
future cosmonautics. The
Cold war, which was through no fault of the This task was brilliantly solved by
efforts of the intellectual and industrial potential of the country. On To
provide national security and social-economic development, the In
addition to Korolev Design Bureau (DB), four large
Rocket Production Centers were established, which were located in the cities of
To
provide combat readiness of ballistic missiles, the latter was redirected
towards high-boiling propellant. Owing to V.P.Glushko's
efforts, unsymmetrical dimethylhydrazine (UDMH) began
to be used as propellant. The
development of submarine-launch missiles began at the Special Design Bureau
(SDB)-385 ( The
silo-type launch installations were built over the whole territory of the
country. The
R-7 missile was intended for canceling out the threat of nuclear war. Being
capable of attaining the orbital velocity, it ensured simultaneous solution of
the epoch-making task of space breakthrough. On After the space age initiation, Cosmonautics (theory
and practice of space flights) gain a significant impetus in its development on
the basis of synthesis of knowledge in the fields of natural, engineering and
social sciences providing, in particular, the extension of social sphere. The
problems of space exploration (in particular, considering space as a habitat)
and involvement of space into the social sphere are dominating nowadays. "Cosmization" covers many fields of life activity. The following notions appeared: "space
biology", "space medicine", "space law", "space
communication", "space navigation", and "space
earth sciences". 50
years of space age have demonstrated that implementation of K.E.Tsiolkovsky's ideas concerning propagation of terrestrial forms of life to the
Universe is a matter of distant future. At the same time, cosmonautics
is developing along the trajectory of the target function that was determined
by K.E.Tsiolkovsky. This is
confirmed by the space flights of the first earthman Yu.Gagarin
and other Soviet astronauts, and subsequent flights of Americans to the Moon. Space activity is performed in two main directions: scientific research
of space, its properties as a new region of "cosmosphere",
which is gradually getting involved into the interests of inquisitive Humanity;
and utilization of
space and its properties for production and distribution (transmission) of
information, energy, materials and application in different spheres of human
activity. Investigations
aimed at acquiring knowledge about space and the Earth as its integral part represent the space exploration outpost. They promote space
utilization and implicitly influence the social and economic progress. In
this respect, the tasks of global informatization are brought to the
foreground. This implies promotion of
awareness of society owing to new information technologies and promising means,
including space-based ones. The successes achieved in the field of space
utilization are also partly described in Section 8. Staying of a man in space is particularly
significant issue of space activity. Yu.Gagarin's
space flight was an epoch-making event in the Civilization history. Manned
space flights have become and still remain a benchmark in estimation of space
activity successes. These flights are significant from social and political
points of view. They stimulate technologies of production and application of
space means. They assist in studying space environment properties and, possibly, more profound space exploration. At
the same time, the efficiency of manned flights seems to be ambiguous. At
present, space research results are attained both by automatic means, and by
manned flights. But space exploration is mainly performed by the artificial
Earth satellites. Today, the Man in space appears in two roles:
as a subject (object) of space research and as an operator. In the first case there are premises for more
successful solution of the task of researching space environment as a habitat. As to acquiring the data on
physical, chemical, biological parameters of space environment, here the
capabilities of astronauts are rather restricted. When a man acts as an operator, the efficiency
of control and maintaining technical means depends on perfection of applied
information technologies. The situation in manned cosmonautics is briefly
presented in Sections 4 and 7. Informational and energy aspects of cosmonautics Information appears in two forms: on the one hand, as a target -
for acquiring knowledge
on space and society informatization; on the other hand,
information is a means of space activity
organization. Energy aspect of
direct (mediated) staying of the Man in space is associated with transportation and functioning of target objects in
some region of space. At present, this task is the most laborious, but usually
it represents only an intermediate aim. Space flights implementation which includes the solution of basic problems of mechanics and control processes, power
engineering and machine building takes the central place in cosmonautics. 4. Methodological basis of cosmonautics Having
realized the necessity of holistic cognition of objects, processes and
phenomena in space and their properties in space and time, K.E. Tsiolkovsky actually laid the foundation for the system
approach (SA) as a methodological basis of cosmonautics. Cosmonautics
now represents a field of knowledge, the scientific-fundamental nature of which
is revealed in the course of systematic cognition of human life and
environment. The
profound understanding of material and spiritual world's properties promotes
progressing differentiation of branches of knowledge. At the same time,
penetration into the special picture of the world, down to micro (nano) scales, brings the systematic (holistic) view of a
problem, comprehension of the determinants of its aims and solutions to the
foreground. "I believe that learning the parts without
knowing the whole is as impossible, as learning the whole without knowing its
parts" (Blaise Pascal). SA is an
expression of special description and analysis of reality "as a whole" - its
systematic nature. From the standpoint of system approach, the explication of space activity by some system of
actions aimed at creation and purposeful usage of a particular class of complex
technogenic systems ("space systems" (SS)
according to accepted terminology), is an efficient measure. The science does not possess any tools for formal description of
complexity. These difficulties are of fundamental nature. At the same time, the
system approach provides the premises for mathematical modelling and
computational experiment with complex technological systems. The model, that
plays a key part in new information technologies, makes it possible to use the
system approach for generation of information about the considered object. The
formal model of a complex system can be presented as follows: S = R(m) Pk, where: m is a set; R is a ratio; P is a
system-generating property; k is an index that characterizes various
conceptions of a system. Here the
concept of "a system" reflects invariant
meanings, which include: a) integrity S Ì X´Y (where X and Y are input and output
variables, respectively); b) relativity S
= <á1...... án; R1...... Rm> (where A1...... án is a family
of components; R1......
Rm
is šššššššš a family of ratios); c) diversity á1 " ≠ "...... " ≠ " án. The generality and singularity of this class of
complex systems is manifested in the unity of: -
aims - outer space exploration; -
technological
means of reaching the aims, including spacecrafts,
transportation means, as well as the ground means of users and control of SS; -
natural environment (space environment). All basic
projects implemented in the space age period are, in their essence, the
following SSs: the first artificial Earth satellite,
the first flight of a Man into space, manned flights and Automatic
Interplanetary Station (AIS) flights to the Moon, missions to the planets of
the Solar system, AIS for Universe observations. Applied satellite systems can
be also ascribed to these projects. The term "space system"
was applied for the first time in the Necessary
condition of operability of a complex system is a number of attributed,
including: intentionality, integrity,
acceptability, succession, compatibility, and dynamism. In our
opinion: Intentionality is formed at setting space activity
aims. SS integrity is manifested in the properties resulting from
integration of components of a system that is preserved under the external
environment conditions. SS integrity
breaks when external links prevail over internal ones. The scale of a system is
critical as well. As the system is complicated, its destruction becomes
possible. Otherwise, the risk exists that SS can lose the capability to fulfill
its target functions. Acceptability appears as a commensurability of aims and
means of their achievement. It is determined by material and intellectual
resources, as well as by political limitations and time factor. The
technological aspect of "acceptability" attribute is largely determined by
capabilities of rocket-and-space hardware which provides transportation, as
well as direct or indirect staying of a Man in space. The lack of "acceptability" attribute in the "Constellation" system,
designed for the Martian mission claimed by President Bush, has lead President Obama to the decision to terminate this project. SS succession has a dialectic nature and possesses scientific,
system and technological aspects. SSs are developed allowing for the world
experience in space activity. In case of ballistic missiles the succession was
observed in development of Russian launch vehicles "Cosmos", "Cyclone", "Dnepr",
and "Rokot". The use of unified space platforms for
artificial Earth satellites (AES) and AIS is popular in the world practice. The
platform analogues from the available technological backlog serve as a basis
for the platform unification. Succession is some kind of restraint for new
developments, but it is not supposed to impede them. In particular, this is the
reason, why SS should possess the "dynamism" attribute. Dynamism defines a
spatial-temporal state. The spatial-temporal
diversity of SS states is characterized by "global"
extension of its energy and information
links, "space"
velocities of its components, as well
as by long-term "life" cycle
with short duration of phases of the latter.
Space and time
appear, on the one hand, as metric characteristics of SS and, on the other
hand, as correlates of its "global" aims and tasks.
Spatial-and-temporal properties determine the role and place of
particular SS in solution of target tasks
of space activity. For example,
geostationary AES "Raduga" was developed
according to the structural-dynamic pattern with an oriented solar array and a
block of antennas rigidly fastened on the spacecraft. These antennas differed
from those of "Intelsat" and "Molniya"
communication AESs operated at that time. Transition
to a new structural-dynamic pattern provided "dynamism" to
spacecraft structure and gave chances to increase energy potential of
Earth-space-Earth radio links. These chances were implemented in the direct
TV-broadcasting spacecraft "Ekran". Compatibility implies conjugation
of a newly developed system with environment. The presence of a system
attribute is clearly illustrated by geostationary "Terra Star- Attributes of SS as a
complex system are implemented in its structure and functions. SS with the
given properties is synthesized using the principles of system engineering, which covers, on the system
approach basis, the whole cycle of works associated with creation of a system, and includes
marketing, goal-setting, configuration of the system, its development,
synthesis of subsystems and components, operation and evaluation of system's
efficiency. System engineering, as a technique of complex
system design, is based on a rational combination of heuristic operations
generalizing the experience, intuition and common sense with numerical methods
of analysis and synthesis. The system approach concepts and, in
particular, the use of attributes of SS as criteria of its vital capacity were
applied in space activity practice in the A classical example of development using SA
concepts is the first-ever navigation-communication satellite system "Cyclone".
System's intentionality was determined by the need for nuclear-missile parity
of the System's
acceptability was ensured by increased efficiency of marine missile carrying
vehicles and by simultaneous application for satellite navigation and radio
communication via "vehicle - land" line. From the
functional standpoint, "Cyclone" spacecraft
possessed the attribute of succession with "Molniya- "Cyclone" compatibility was expressed through design association with
"Cosmos" launch vehicle. It simultaneously provided the long-term operation of
the system. Dynamism
of "Cyclone" spacecraft is manifested, in
particular, in the content of its target task which is implemented in space and time. The system approach methodology, which was popular in
the It
is impossible now to thoroughly estimate the intentionality and acceptability
of this YAERDU, because the authors do not possess so far the initial data on
performance of this target payload. Concerning
succession of the project, the reference to earlier Soviet and US developments
and single launches of a spacecraft with kilowatt-class nuclear power units,
which were terminated due to operation complexities, seems inadequate. The
work should be started from scratch, and taking into account the experience in
space activity, it will take not years but decades to perform bench and flight
tests of YAERDU before the manned flight to Mars, the latter being possible
only in case of successful testing. It
seems logical that the nuclear unit concept in the The
solar generators are being permanently improved. At present, multijunction gallium-arsenide photovoltaic cells are used
with about 30% performance index. American
Ad Astra Rocket Company is now developing a magnetoplasma jet engine intended for scientific missions
within the Solar system. The output power is around hundreds kW, and it is
planned to be equipped with solar cells with a concentrator (implementation -
2015-2030). In
May 2010, Simultaneously,
the world rocket production progresses along the traditional way of using
hydrocarbon fuels. In our opinion, YAERDU
his project threatens to bring
Russian cosmonautics to a dead end and has a prominent populistic
tinge. We also
believe that the project "Multipurpose
aerospace system for monitoring and warning of natural disasters" (íáKSí) initiated by The "globalization" trend is not fresh for the given project. As far back as 1994, the American administration
advanced the initiative to establish a Single Global Information Structure to
provide people with knowledge using space-based means. However, this idea was
not implemented because of a number of social, economic and technological
contradictions. We
believe that the project of
establishment of a regional multipurpose space system "Arctica"
within the framework of the Federal Space Program (FSP) 2011-2020 is also
incorrect. This system is designed for continuous meteorological monitoring of
the arctic polar zone and provision of the cross-polar air routes with radio
communication. Integrity of a system, consisting of two subsystems with
heterogeneous structure and functions, seems doubtful. Acceptability of a
system, which will cost, according to Roscosmos, 68 billion of rubles, is not
studied with potential investors. Obviously, its authors have forgotten that
today the sole right for prospecting and exploitation of hydrocarbon deposits of
the Russian shelf belongs to some Russian tycoons, who do not seem to be going
to invest in the given project. System's
compatibility with other systems of similar purpose used in the world practice
is absent. There are also no analogues for determining the succession of the
system. Besides,
involvement of high-elliptical orbits in the system lowers the efficiency of
meteorological monitoring because data acquisition on the global scale is
impossible. This type of orbit was used in the Today
the world practice of satellite monitoring is aimed at geostationary AESs integration with
low-flying AESs in subpolar
orbits. Significant results were obtained here both in the field of Earth
remote sensing (ERS) and in mobile satellite communication. Dozens of ERS
spacecrafts are being operated now by spacefaring
nations. Russia, having only one spacecraft ("Meteor-M") in subpolar orbit and one geostationary
AES ("Electro"), instead of expansion of orbital AES systems,
has decided to "surpass the world society without overtaking it" with its plans
to establish some "original" space system. This project cannot be
considered as a technological breakthrough, as its authors believe it to be. 5. Goals and tasks of space activity "Knowing
what to do is more important, than knowing how to do" (N.Wiener) The property of a complex system of any nature
is its intentionality, i.e. the presence of a goal the system has to reach. The
goals are typified according to a series of criteria. One should distinguish: - goal-setting behavior, which is
characteristic for a system with its inherent aim; this is a property of a
self-organized (intelligent) system; - controlling behavior, which is characteristic for
complex engineering systems. SSs belong to the class of purposeful systems, the
goals of which are set by a higher level system. Intentionality of SS is determined by the
essence of cosmonautics and is implemented in the process of generation and
transmission of information, energy,
materials in space for the sake of
social sphere extension. The aims are specified in correlation with its attributes ensuring the
presence of a system throughout its "life cycle". Relationships between
complex system's means and goal represent a particular case of cause-and-effect
relations with the primacy of the latter. Incorrectly stated goals lead a
system to destruction, whereas incorrectly chosen means lead to deterioration
of the system's parameters. There are direct and long-term
goals. Direct goals which represent the desirable result of activity,
achievable over a certain time interval; they are characterized by a set of
quantitative data or parameters of this result; in this context the notions of "goal"
and "task" are identical. Long-term (perspective) goals are the desirable
result, which can probably be approached over some time interval; the
problematical character of long-term goals is caused not only by the
indeterminacy in perspectives of means, but also by impossibility of problem
statement. The problematic goals can be vague
and abstract enough. Such goals of space
activity include the goals of ISS and manned flights in near-Earth orbits. The
goals in cosmonautics are also ranked into final and intermediate ones.
The final goals are achieved during generation and distribution of information
about phenomena, processes, and objects in space and on the Earth. An
intermediate goal is usually transportation and maintenance of cargos (target
payloads) in the given space region. The space activity goals are
motivated by the material, spiritual, and social-political values. "Space
research should grasp imagination," wrote Karl Sagan. The need for recognition and rivalry immanent
to a Man prevent global integration of society for space exploration purposes.
Therefore the space activity should accomplished within the state framework and should not have
a competitive character. The practice of recent decades has
shown that, because of the shift of emphasis in universal values towards
enrichment, the distortions in motivating space activity goals may occur (and
have actually happened). The monetary approach as a state policy basis has led
to decline of professional interest and popularity of cosmonautics in society. Indeed, conceptual aspect in goal statement in
a country can be judged by the announcements of its leaders. Current space policy of the USA is
characterized by President Obama's statement made in
2009: "To provide the power of our space program in the long run, we should
remember the great adventures and discoveries that are possible in the future,
:It is necessary to recover the sense of excitement and interest in the space
program that existed earlier, : The preparation of the mission corresponding to
the 21st century realities will become one of the basic functions : :" Russian authorities' attitude
towards space activity in Three years later (in 2008) V.V.Putin called on to implement new really ambitious
projects in space activity. But in 2011,
while discussing the governmental program of armament for 2011-2020, he did not mention space activity among
the main parts of defense-industrial sector. šIt is reasonable to recall that N.S.Khrushchev
attached great importance to cosmonautics. During the Cold war period, he
officially declared: "Successes in space are not less important for us now,
than building of combat missiles". As to the content of space programs of the The Major aims, basic principles, priority
directions and tasks of space research and exploration in the The first priority,
which is rather generalized and comprehensive, is as follows: "Meeting the
needs of state defense and security, social-economic sphere and science in
space activity results at the given level by deployment and efficient use of
national orbital constellations of spacecrafts of required composition". Epithets "given" and "required"
confirm that the first priority belongs to reaching the long-term aims, rather
than solution of particular tasks. The second priority
is "provision of guaranteed access of We do not doubt the need for
provision of independence of Russian space activity, but nevertheless one
question arises here: why the priority of construction of the launch site on
the Russian territory is considered to be higher than building of space
vehicles? What is the sense of building the launch site without involving it in
solution of well-defined national defense and security tasks? The launch sites built in the Soviet
Union were created according to this very concept; the network of these launch
sites in "Kapustin Yar", "Baikonur",
"Plesetsk" ensured the parity in the Cold war and the
priority in cosmonautics. This problem is turned upside down
in As far back as 1995, the Government Regulation
"On measures for building " The third priority in the "Basic
principles of Russian policy :." is given to "fulfillment of international
obligations of The problems with possible
independent significance for the space activity strategy seem to be mixed here. The task of "completing the deployment of
Russian sector of the Station and enhancement of its scientific and applied
usage" is motivated in this document by the prospects of orienting Russian
space manned program towards the ISS operation up to 2020, and towards
establishment of "new space infrastructure on the basis of orbital manned
system" after 2020. But the choice of manned flights on near-Earth
orbits as an ultimate goal for the future looks paradoxical. At the end of
2010, conclusions and recommendations were drawn at the summit of 25 space
agencies that the next logical step in
space research would be a manned flight to Mars: and the manned flights in
near-Earth orbits : : were considered reasonable as an intermediate goal. šThe importance of orbital flights for But it was a premature relief.
American Space Adventures Company signed an agreement with Roscosmos and Rocket
Space Corporation "Energiya", according to which the
company will get three seats per year for tourists
onboard "Soyuz" spacecraft beginning with 2013. The only thing the Russians managed
to make sure while operating ISS was that according to astronaut G.Padalka: "Russian
orbital segment is far behind the segments of our partners. Its construction is
based on technologies of the middle eighties, which were developed by that
great power. New Another problem is associated with
"fulfillment of international obligations of The international cooperation is known to be of
basically dialectic nature. Counteraction of the The international cooperation includes
literally an exchange of knowledge and technologies, joint activity, and
participation in the space services market. Joint Soviet-American Apollo-Soyuz flight
performed in 1975 played a significant role in exchange of knowledge. The
international exchange of knowledge is performed with participation of state
structures, legal entity and individuals, during the flights of spacecrafts and
space vehicles, in various international organizations, as well as at symposia,
conferences, and workshops. šThe intergovernmental cooperation in technologies and products plays an
important role in space activity. Commercial, political and social interests of
parties are mixed here. But nowadays, having wasted the state resources
and having put the state on a monetary way of development, Russian reformers
saw only one aim in the international cooperation, that
is commercial interest. Such notions as political and military parity,
scientific-technological priority, interests and security of the country have
been forgotten. At the early nineties, according to american side's wishes, the
Soviet long-living space station "Mir" that was put into orbit in 1986 was
deorbited. Simultaneously, the decision was made to take part in the
international space station built by the Joint operation of the ISS has begun, and
station functioning stimulates the development of space technologies in Onboard the ISS the training of astronauts of
some countries is carried out and scientific experiments with limited results
are fulfilled. Maintenance and repair of unique engineering device, Hubble
space telescope, performed by American astronauts for the first time in the
world practice can be considered a weighty contribution of the ISS. ISS activity is provided by American
"Shuttles" and Russian "Soyuzes' supplemented by the
automatic transportation vehicle ATV of the European Space Agency (ESA) and Japanese
HTV automatic cargo spacecraft. The While there are idle talks and
irresponsible declarations in Russia concerning the things like by what means
and where to direct the manned flights, the USA, having generated (together
with Russia) the necessary technological groundwork at ISS, begin moving
towards planets and bodies of the Solar system. The personnel aspect of the
American-Russian ISS partnership seems interesting. 36 astronauts and
cosmonauts worked onboard the ISS in 2010, including 25 Americans, 8 Russians,
2 Japanese and 1 Italian. "Investigations of Solar system planets and
bodies for the benefit of basic knowledge about the surrounding world, solution
of applied problems of extra-terrestrial resources utilization, study of the
Earth evolution and searching for extra-terrestrial life" are mentioned in the
"Basic principles of Russian policy :." as the fourth and last priority.
It would be quite adequate for Russian space activity, but, beginning with the
nineties, the flights of Russian Automatic Interplanetary Stations (AIS) were
terminated, and space research has been carried out using AISs
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Rocket and space technology (from foreign press), issues of 2009-2011 (in
Russian). Grigory Markelovich Chernyavsky - Director of "Cosmonit" Scientific and Technology Center of Russian
Space Systems Corp., Corresponding
Member of the |
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